Thursday, 30 April 2009
Mixed fortunes............
Thursday was more interesting especially in respect of the 4.30 Folkestone as soon as prices released all anyone wanted to know about was the Jarvis runner, King of Defense 5/4 did not last long............ nor did the 11/10, Evs or 10/11 !!! 8/11 was soon the price all the informed sources were asking around and the bottom of the price was found at 8/11 and then the same faces came on for the Andrew Haynes runner Crystallize ew @ 20/1, 16/1, 12/1 and 10/1. I got on both of these at 6/5 & 16/1 respectively and at the off i was happy as they were sent off at 8/11 & 15/2 during the race i was never happy with the fav but Crystallize was travelling sweetly but around 2f out he was denied a run and there after Seb Sanders was rather sympathetic (understatement) and he was allowedto come home in his own time.........definately one for the notebook.
In a previous posting i pleaded with John Gosden to run Charm School over a mile with some give in the ground, he obviously is not a follower of my blog as he ran Charm School over 7f on firm going at Yarmouth, i wanted to take this one on and through a bit of trading i laid £40 @ 5/4, different running tactics were employed as he was rather prominent rather than the usual come from behind ploy, but 2f out he lacked the pace to go with the leaders and was found wanting and stayed on one paced.
I would like to bring your attention to a new blog i have been following specializing in 2 year old races http://blog.highclassequine.com/ they also have a text/email service whereby their selections are passed on, these can be found on the blog but it saves you missing out on their info, 2 selections so far both involved in photos and both advised @ 11/2 one 2nd and the other was successful, Lady Lube Rye in the 2.00 Redcar.
Reading between the lines (i may be wrong) but i think they will be charging in the future, so get in quick for the free decent info !!!!
WEDNESDAY
OPTIMUM RACING
3.20 Ascot LAA RAYB £50 win @ 9/4 unpld -£50
VSR
6.00 Kelso CATCH BOB £38 ew @ 2/1 WON +£91.20
THURSDAY
OPTIMUM RACING
2.40 Folk BILLY BEETROOT £25 ew @ 9/2 3rd -£2.50
PERSONAL TRADING
4.30 Folk KING OF DEFENCE £50 @ 6/5 3rd -£50
4.30 Folk CRYSTALLIZE £25 ew @ 16/1 unpld -£50
6.00 Yar CHARM SCHOOL lay £100 @3.83 back £60 @ 4.88
(lay £40 @ 2.255)
2.00 Red LADY LUBE RYE £25 ew @ 11/2 WON +£165
http://blog.highclassequine.com/
Tuesday, 28 April 2009
Its been a quiet few days.............
VSR have been very quiet, but they are very fair to subscibers in these situations by adding days onto their subscriptions, which is fair play to them.
There will be a new service featured from the 1st May with all subscribers to Optimum Racing being given a free trial of Optimum Sport, so lets see how they fare...........
OPTIMUM RACING
Tuesday
3.20 Bath FONDANT FANCY £25ew(1 pt ew) @ 10/1 unpld -£50
5.05 Bath CRIMSON FERN £25 win(1pt win) @ 7/1 2nd -£25
5.05 Bath SIRENS GIFT £25 win(1pt win) @ 7/1 3rd -£25
Thursday, 23 April 2009
Hitting the woodwork............
THURSDAY
OPTIMUM RACING
2.40 Perth COACH LANE £25 ew @ 9/1 3rd +£20
2.40 Perth ORMELLO £25 ew @ 11/1 2nd +£30
FRIDAY
OPTIMUM RACING
7.25 Chepstow DEAD OR ALIVE £150 @ 6/4 2nd -£150
Again had the value ..............
WEDNESDAY
VSR
5.05 Perth CASUAL AFFAIR £38 ew @ 7/2 3rd -£11.40
Tuesday, 21 April 2009
A loss today but pleased with my trading..........
It was quite a lively morning with the biggest mover being Cold Turkey backed from 20/1 into 5/1 and then we had confirmation that today was the day, with the other Moore runner and supposed first string Kavaloti being scratched and Ryan Moore switching ousting the 7lb claimer Gemma Marshall. I traded a bit in the morning on the exchanges and quickly got involved around the 11/2 level when the N/R situation became public, laying back at 4/1, all this gave me a lovely position on the gamble, but although travelling well the selection was always playing catch up and i was happy enough to collect on the place bet.
TUESDAY
PERSONAL TRADING
4.40 Southwell BUBSES BOY £100 @ 5/2 lost -£100
BUBSES BOY £200 @ 2.92 back
BUBSES BOY £200 @ 2.50 lay
5.20 Kempton COLD TURKEY £30 @ 14.20 lost -£ 30
place COLD TURKEY £45 @ 2.82 WON +£78.21
Monday, 20 April 2009
calzaghe has not lost any punch ...............
Getting back to Calzaghe when i say a decent bet, its all relative and these days £100 ew is a decent bet for me and i was going to have £75 ew on, i had £25 ew @ 6/1 with Paddy Power early doors. But in the end thats all i had on, i was in a pub and phoned up to have my bet but was quoted a price of 8/1, having been 6/1 in the morning i perceived this to mean no market confidence behind Calzaghe, i was oblivious to the fact that 12/1 had been available before support came in !!!
My other bet came later in the afternoon where i noticed support for Players Please the connections know how to land a touch and although missing the fancy prices i was happy with the 7/2 & 4/1 obtained. A mistake 4 out put paid to his chances, but even a flawless round would not have been enough to overturn the impressive Classic Swain, but Players Please is now eligible for handicaps and if learning to settle may be worth following ........... when the money is down !!
SUNDAY
PERSONAL TRADING
2.10 Ling CALZAGHE £25 ew @ 8/1 WON +£250
4.50 Winc PLAYERS PLEASE £70 ew @ 4/1 £30 ew @ 7/2 3rd -£23
Saturday, 18 April 2009
Mr Gosden, please run Charm School over 12f..........
Again not a great day, especially in respect of OPTIMUM who really have endured some awful fortune of late, and today we really had our noses rubbed in it, with the Twiston Davies first string and Optimum advised Tricky Trickster being a late withdrawal and then Nigel winning it with Hello Bud, we did our dough as NRNB was not applicable, and i was busy at work but and this is not aftertiming if i had realised that the trainer had another runner i would have had a £10/20 ew on his other runner, i would but i did not ........... no need to go harping on about what i might have backed !!!
I felt Middlesboro may have built on last weeks success and quite ironic that Schwarzer denied Boro the 3 points, i felt that Chelsea would have too much fire power for an under strength Arsenal defense this was correct but did not matter as the first leg went down.
OPTIMUM RACING
Scot Grand Nat TRICKY TRICKSTER £50 ew @ 10/1 lost -£100
PERSONAL TRADING
2.35 CHARM SCHOOL £37.50 ew @ 8/1 unpld -£75
SPORTS BETTING
Middlesboro 5/4 Chelsea 6/4 £100 double lost -£100
A day to forget.............
FRIDAY
OPTIMUM RACING
5.00 Chelt TRAMANTANO £100 @ 7/2 R4 10p unpld -£100
VSR
5.25 Sedge TREEKO £38 ew @ 11/2 2nd +£3.80
PERSONAL TRADING
2.20 Ayr DESCRIPTION £37.50 ew @ 11/4 unpld -£75
6.45 Chelt BLAZING BAILEY £50 @ 4.40 unpld -£50
Friday, 17 April 2009
Clement Freud............made me cry......
THURSDAY
SPORTS BETTING
Hamburg DRAW NO BET £100 @ 2.92 lost -£100
Tuesday, 14 April 2009
Not much to say...........
I had a little dabble with one today in the 4.50 Yarmouth on Buddhist Monk, eye catching last time out when the saddle slipped in a hot handicap on his seasonal appearance, i thought this one had a definite chance, i was concerned with the distance, im of the opinion 1m 4/6f is the optimum trip but this weaker contest combined with the debut run meant that i wanted an interest. My other worry was on the EW terms as Rowan Rio was an early scratching leaving 8, and there was a ground proviso over Dark Prospect but the price started to go so i had £50 ew @ 5/1. Thankfully the dead 8 left the stalls, i was oblivious to the race as work took over, but we finished 3rd, so no damage done.
TUESDAY
PERSONAL TRADING
4.50 Yarmouth BUDDHIST MONK £50 ew @ 5/1 3rd Nil p/l
Monday, 13 April 2009
A quiet Easter...............
Monday started off well with a nice 7/2 winner in the form of FLOS LAS DIOMOND from the inform source of VSR, a cracking each way bet that went one better than yesterdays Dazzling Light. Then a bit of trading consolidated this profit, in the 3.25 Yarmouth Thousand Miles attacted the support of some respected faces so i followed in with £200 @ 3/1 and layed back my stake at an average of 3.37 with the gutsy success of Thousand Miles my profit came to £126.00, so a nice way to start the week on monday.
SUNDAY
VSR
3.10 Towcester BUSKER ROYAL £35 ew @ 9/4 2nd -£19.25
4.50 Musselburgh DAZZLING LIGHT £35 ew @ 10/3 2nd -£11.67
MONDAY
VSR
1.55 Chepstow FLOS LAS DIAMOND £34 ew @ 7/2 WON +£142.80
PERSONAL TRADING
3.25 Yarmouth THOUSAND MILES £200 @ 3/1 WON +£600
THOUSAND MILES Lay £200 @ 3.37 -£474
Friday, 10 April 2009
VSR GOOD RUN CONTINUES ...............
VSR had a decent day on Thursday with one bet one winner in the form of the well backed CAOBA who won comfortably in the Wincanton 3.50.
The two selections from Optimum ran with credit as has been the case recently but just not getting the rub of the green, im down about 24 points so far but thats something that a successful run will soon reverse, being a long term member helps in these situations, as you have sustained brilliant winning runs previously and experienced winning more than this in a month. Its frustrating more than anything but playing with the odds in your favour will reap the expected rewards............. its only a matter of time. On Wednesday was pipped for 3rd by a head, becoming outpaced then running on again, whilst on Thursday Black Hills lost all chance when nearly being put through the rails rounding the bend before entering the straight.
A small loss from me on Wednesday which was slightly frustrating as my EW choice in the 2yo race was between the pair who ran behind Star Rover the debut winner was was carrying a 7lb penalty, namely Black Daddy & Red Avalanche both showed promise on their debuts but personally i felt that Black Daddy had more scope for improvement, error on my part as Black Daddy showed nothing and finished last, whilst Red Avalanche built on the debut run to finish 2nd @ 28/1.
WEDNESDAY
OPTIMUM RACING
3.40 Hereford SUPER JUDGE £50 ew @ 13/2 LOST -£100
PERSONAL TRADING
2.00 Nottingham BLACK DADDY £25 ew @ 10/1 LOST -£50
THURSDAY
OPTIMUM RACING
4.00 Ludlow BLACK HILLS £50 ew @ 11/2 LOST -£100
VSR
3.50 Wincanton CAOBA £25 ew @ 5/2 WON +£75
Tuesday, 7 April 2009
A busy but successful day ...........
culminating in a 2/1 double on the evenings Champions League matches on the 2.5 goal market, Man Utd Defense has been as wobbly as my gut recently and i was originally going to just back this at Evens, i would have had the Overs my fav, but my fiancee and her family are all gooners so i was going to have to watch this match tonight so i wanted an interest, 1/2 was skinny but it was the side i wanted to be with, but value it was not, oops sorry Dad !! Thankfully for me it all came right and was a nice ending to the day.
Optimum put up All for the Cause today in the 2.50 Sedgefield, it ran with credit finishing second to the impressive Ingratitude, it was put up as a win bet but the race had a few no hopers in it and i preferred the EW option, but it nearly came unstuck at the last when i thought that All for the cause was going to jump the running rail.
VSR had a decent day with Black Beauty being backed as defeat was out of the question, their selection Alfarid was drifting, once again highlighting the BOG offer.
My other bet was on Select in the 4.40 Pontefract, this was all the rage this morning, all the right faces were lumping on, Ladbrokes went from 5/4 to 4/5 in one very quick move, and within 15 minutes 2.32 became 1.94, i managed to acquire some 11/8 and felt happy with myself. Then come the shows from the track and as Big Mac would scream ........... we had flip flopping favourites as Select drifted from odds on to 2.90 on the exchanges, the SP of 13/8 was a little tight in my opinion, with the Johnston trained Kasaa Ed running poorly, virtually being tailed off this did not take much winning, and although Select did all she had to do in winning comfortably enough i dont think the form adds up to much.
THURSDAY
OPTIMUM RACING
2.50 Sedge ALL FOR THE CAUSE £100 win @ 9/2 2nd -£100
VSR
3.20 Sedge NEWGATE £25 ew @ 7/2 2nd -£7.50
3.30 Fontwell ALFARID £25 ew @ 4/1 WON +£120
PERSONAL TRADING
2.50 Sedge ALL FOR THE CAUSE £100 place @ 1.90 2nd +90
4.40 Ponte SELECT £80 @ 11/8 WON +£110
SPORTS BETTING
Man Utd O 2.5 goals Evs Arsenal U 2.5 goals 1/2 £50 double WON +£100
I needed that ..........
Red Jazz made it a good start to the day in the first at Windsor, another 2 year old race but with no previous form to go by and my bet was based purely on the strength of market, with the right faces wanting to get on for decent money i played on the exchanges, trading a little giving me a position of £50 @ 11/5, again content with the selection going off @ 11/8. This one looked above average and won easily by 5 lengths.
TUESDAY
PERSONAL TRADING
2.20 Windsor RED JAZZ £50 @ 3.20 (average) WON +£105.27
4.40 Wolves EIGHT HOURS £100 @ 7/4 R4 20p WON +£150
Sunday, 5 April 2009
i never learn...........
Well i was not really in any state to risk any of my hard earnt, and thankfully it was a quiet day i got involved in a small way personally and this bet fared the same as most of my recent selections ........poorly !!!
SUNDAY
PERSOMAL TRADING
4.40 Southwell HEIR TO BE £25 ew @ 7/1 lost -£50
Saturday, 4 April 2009
Poor run continues ...........
SATURDAY
OPTIMUM RACING
4.15 Aintree BLACK APALACHI £50 win £25 place @ 25/1 -£75
PERSONAL TRADING
1.30 Aintree AINAMA Lay £50 @ 3.00 3rd -£100
2.25 Chepstow BACK TO REALITY £50 ew @ 9/1 unpld -£100
Friday, 3 April 2009
A quiet day all round...............
both professionally and personally, although a cracking card it was dead in our shops and on the phones, so had the chance to watch some marvellous racing from Aintree. Would have loved to be there and in Liverpool tonight as Ladies day/night is a right giggle, but with me being laid low with a serious bout of "Man Flu" i would not be in the mood for a night on the tiles.
A couple of bets today both with the "value" but that did not translate into monetary return, i fancied Aintree specialist Tidal Bay to give the fav a decent race in the Melling Chase and at 11/2 and a 1/4 odds i was happy pre race but after being baulked mid race he never looked happy. My second bet was on the back of some alert arbers who came steaming in for Carte D'oro @ 16/1 within minutes this was a 7/1 chance, but this ran like a rag where you named your price and never threatened ............
FRIDAY
VSR
2.00 Aintree SOMERSBY £25 ew @ 9/2 3rd -£2.50
PERSONAL TRADING
3.10 Aintree TIDAL BAY £25 ew @ 11/2 LOST -£50
3.20 Bath CARTE D'ORO £25 ew @ 16/1 LOST -£50
Thursday, 2 April 2009
Its uncanny ..............
THURSDAY
OPTIMUM RACING
4.55 Aintree CHAPOTURGEON £150 @ 2/1 fell 1st -£150
VSR
2.35 Aintree WALKON £25 ew @ 11/4 WON +£85.94
Wednesday, 1 April 2009
A new day, lets not go overboard ...............
Well i was feeling a bit despondent yesterday, so i took a look at my p/l figures year to date and they show me that im over half way to my target of £10k ...............
OPTIMUM RACING -£ 191.88 (7.67pts)
VSR +£1134.11 (45.36pts)
PERSONAL TRADING +£1924.77
SPORTS BETTING +£2543.66
THE10KCHALLENGE..................................+£5410.66
So the overall figures still look good, OPTIMUM RACING with the string of unfortunate non completions have had a sticky early part of the year, but once everything clicks im positive normal service will be resumed !!