Tuesday, 31 March 2009
what was i saying about regrouping ..............
Early afternoon all was rosey just the one bet £50 @ 3/1 on Bubses Boy 5.35 Folkestone, 5/2 was the best price and the bet was on the back of sustained support from respected faces in Newmarket and i was happy, then i got a call screaming the house down over The Hague in the 3.50 Southwell and i was told to expect support, i started to build a position in anticipation of support ................. how wrong can you be, the sp of 4/6 only tells one story as the exchange price was 11/8 i had well n truly caught a cold !!!! i was screwed and not a lot i could do, my source had recently given me Servoca on Friday 5/4 backed into 4/7 but this one was a right lemon. My exchange position is a tad embarrassing to air .............. but i have come this far, basically i had £325 @ 2/9 !!! Well i knew my goose was cooked pretty early on and i went for a stroll to try and clear my head, the gory detailsare shown below .............
Horse Racing > Sthl 31st Mar : 1m Mdn Stks
Showing 1 - 2 of 2 Selections
Selection
Odds
Stake(£)
Bid type
Placed
Profit/loss(£)
The Hague
*
1.86
900.00
Back
-900.00
The Hague
*
2.22
575.00
Lay
575.00
*Average odds: On Off
Back subtotal:
-900.00
Lay subtotal:
575.00
Market subtotal:
-325.00
Commission :
0.00
Net Market Total:
-325.00
I tried to salwage a little back on the day by having a further £50 @ 11/4 on Bubses Boy and although running much better than The Hague never threatened, to seal a £425 loss on the day.
I cant afford to lose these sort of sums thesedays and some serious thinking and work needs to be done over the next few days, my trip to Cheltenham looks as likely as Spurs winning the league unless fortunes quickly turnaround.
TUESDAY
PERSONAL TRADING
3.50 Southwell THE HAGUE £325 @ 1.22307 lost -£325
5.35 Folkestone BUBSES BOY £50 @ 3/1 & 11/4 3rd -£100
Monday, 30 March 2009
Time to regroup ..............
Only a couple of bets courtesy of VSR, Youzmain did not enjoy the clearest of runs, being stopped in his tracks at least twice and that scuppered any chance of a return, and with the Sunday bet Sea Stormn was only ever looking likely to collect the place money, it was a small deficit on the weekend.
The Bet Plan over the last week has been in good form with a return to decent form, my initial £500 bank now stands at £765.44, it did peak at £820.45 before sliding down a snake to £583 but we found a ladder and we now stand at a most respectable £765 !!
SATURDAY
4.40 Nad Al Sheba YOUZMAIN £25 ew @ 4/1 unpld -£50
SUNDAY
2.10 Kelso SEA STORM £25 ew @ 8/1 2nd +£15
Friday, 27 March 2009
a slip of the finger, or a taste of things to come .......
Where some of the UK Bookmakers are struggling are the levels of debt that they have to service and cost cutting is prevalent throughout the industry as every penny has to be accounted for and savings are crucial, Sundays are the latest cut back with double time or even time and a half going the same way of the much missed Dodo !!
So a slight tweak of the Each Way terms may be next issue on their agenda, today William Hill offered Each Way terms of 1/5 odds 1-2-3-4 on the 5.05 Fontwell, these went unchanged until approximately 3.30pm, they may claim it was an innocent typo, but my suspicious cynical mind think they would just test the water to see the reaction, well thankfully the Betfair forum was full of it, a lot of bollocks is spouted on their and im a very occassional participent on the forum but today it proved its worth.
Im having a shocker of a week, and i cocked everything up but it was not as simple as that, but i do only have myself to blame, at times work has to take precedent over my personal punting !!! and today i paid the price of trying to combine the two. The first incident was just an example of opportunity cost we took a lump on Sevoca 7.20 Wolves @ 11/10 , 5/4 was available with corals but i could not access the site, the next price i could get was 10/11 but no way was i going to take that 2.02/2.04 on betfair for peanuts, i joined the offer at 2.04 after half an hour of sorting out spreadsheets and general crap i had a look at betfair and i was unmatched and 1.86/88 was the price. I just watched the price contract all day and the 7l victory did not go down well from a company or personal point of view ...............
Optimum played in the 4.05 Ascot with a decent bet on Mizen Raven and i broke one of my personal betting rules of backing and laying in the same race, some may feel if you have a strong view then its a reasonable stance to take but over the years i dont think it has worked for me, or is that i just remember the bad days more ? Well the lay Fire and Rain was struggling and had just traded at 30 and the well travelling Mizen Raven was 2.32/2.40 on the exchanges, i wanted to cover myself.............but my pod partner at work had taken a fag break and i got a shop enquiry and all i could do was watch with horror as Fire and Rain rallied, i could see the inevitable happening some way out but there was nothing i could do as work took over. I was fuming but my annoyance and anger subsided some what after the equivalent of the weight of a bag of sweets caused carnage on the exchanges after Radar Love was disqualified following an objection from the clerk of the scales, again proving there is no such thing as FREE MONEY ............
FRIDAY
OPTIMUM RACING
4.05 Ascot MIZEN RAVEN £125 @ 10/3 2nd -£125
VSR
2.20 Ascot DOVERS HILL £25 ew @ 7/1 2nd +£18.75
PERSONAL TRADING
4.05 Ascot FIRE and RUN Lay £80 @ 3.50 WON -£200
Tuesday, 24 March 2009
Wish the quiet spell continued !!!
So a deficit of £350 on the day and week, and i will be beavering away trying to get my head in front of the week, have promised the Mrs a weekend away.............. to Cheltenham of course in the middle of April and i need my punting to pay for it, so not a good start !!
I enjoy reading the betting window page in the RP (today p19) especially the job in focus article but the odds compilers/traders views on arbers although understandable to an extent does wind me up a tad............... they are happy using the exchanges to price up their markets and use it as an early warning system and personally i feel they they must expect business when trading/arbing opportunities arise, so they think that "arbing is a tedious way to make money and takes the fun out of gambling"........... so if they walked down the street and noticed a score on the floor they would walk straight past it ???? I DONT THINK SO !! Gambling to me is about making money, today that means supplementing my income and trading/arbing is all part of the game. Take exchanges out of the game (not going to happen) and overnight arbing will be history..................
TUESDAY
OPTIMUM RACING
5.10 Southwell NO SUPPER £75 ew @ 11/2 LOST -£150
PERSONAL TRADING
5.10 Southwell NO SUPPER £100 ew @ 11/2 LOST -£200
Quiet couple of days ...............
Monday was a non event for me, betting wise, so i wont waste your or my time with any baloney !!
Sunday, 22 March 2009
Nearly a perfect day............
On a punting front i was a little frustrated in the morning, it was relatively quiet but the sharks were out in force for two horses Be Brief 3.45 Haydock 11/2 - 5/1 but a NR and Ratchcor 4.30 Bangor @ 14/1 but i could not avail myself of anything better than 10/1, next time i looked it was a under pressure 8/1 shot !! Even this would have been value as Rathcor who finished 3rd returned a 4/1 fav.
Another horse we were fending off was Legislate in the last at Lingfield, a dodgy ew race with a odds on fav in the form of Jesse James, Legislate was the subject of decent EW interest and i took the decision to offer minimal EW support for Legislate, instead offering full win and half a place................talk about poacher turned gamekeeper !!! A well connected customer made me fully aware that this was a decent EW bet and as he drifted on the shows i managed to get £186 ew on £100 ew @ 7/2 and £86 ew @ 4/1. I was happy with this bet especially as late support came in, but i placed a hopeful trade to lay £200 @ 2.20 in running, this was matched as Legislate battled on gamely inside the last to fend off Jesse James and give me a most welcome little touch.
SATURDAY
PERSONAL TRADING
5.25 Lingfield LEGISLATE £100 ew @ 7/2 £86 ew @ 4/1 WON +£832.80
LAY £200 @ 2.20 I/R - £240 (overall profit +£592.80)
SPORTS BETTING
Arsenal to bt Newcastle 8/11 Ireland to bt Wales 11/8 £75 double WON +£232.67
Saturday, 21 March 2009
Got out of jail, with the last throw of the dice today.....
FRIDAY
OPTIMUM RACING
3.15 Newbury OH BRAGA £150 @ 2/1 unpld -£150
PERSONAL TRADING
2.40 Newbury Back 5151 v FISTRAL BEACH £100 match bet @ 2.18 lost -£100
5.50 Lingfield MUJMA £20 ew @ 12/1 WON +£288
Thursday, 19 March 2009
We got there in the end..............
with a nice profit on the day, did not get a run with the first bet from VSR after the rein on Enfant du Lune gaveway and broke, and then i traded on No Supper, post race i had a limit of evens, 2.00 on the exchanges to back the horse and this was matched shortly before the off, during the race i had another bet of £100 @ 2.10. My intention was to to lay £100 @ 1.21 & 1.57 respectively, but during the race as No Supper was travelling so well i cancelled the 1.57 trade..... DOH !! So a loss of £100 on the race, workwise the week has been quiet as can be expected after Cheltenham, but around 5.25 the phones started buzzing a few judges were on the Sandown bumper eyecatcher Volador and then a major plunge with us on the Colour of Money, backed by the connections of the Tabor team, i managed to get a bullseye ew on @ 6/1 to give me a profitable day.
WEDNESDAY
VSR
3.10 War Enfant du Lune £25 ew @ 5/2 UNPLD -£50
PERSONAL TRADING
5.10 War NO SUPPER Back £200 @ 2.05 Lay £100 @ 1.21 2nd -£100
5.50 Ling COLOUR OF MONEY £50 ew @ 6/1 WON +£375
Tuesday, 17 March 2009
OPTIMUM BOUNCE BACK WITH 9/2 WINNER !!!!
This was my only action of the day as i had a funeral to attend at Noon, so with the message being given at 10.15 i was able to place my bet, the winning SP was a very nice bonus.
MONDAY
OPTIMUM RACING
4.50 Taunton CAVA BIEN £100 @ 9/2 WON +£450
Monday, 16 March 2009
Cmon youSpurs !!!!!!!
SUNDAY
OPTIMUM RACING
2.30 Carlise FRITH £50 ew @ 6/1 4th -£100
VSR
2.20 Fontwell BALANAHINCH £25 ew @ 3/1 2nd -£10
SPORTS BETTING
£25 TRIXIE Chelsea @ 2/5 Tottenham @ 5/2 DRAW Celtic v Rangers @ 21/10
ALL WON +£882.00
after the lords mayor show feeling ...............
A quiet day to report and i was well pleased with this approach as i had a lazy morning after getting up late and then promised to take the Mrs shopping, nothing extravagrant only Sainsburys so i was out when the various messages were being broadcast, the only action today was from VSR who followed on from yesterdays success with a 2nd plus a 3/1 winner.
SATURDAY
VSR
1.50 Weth SACRILEGE £25 ew @ 5/2 2nd -£12.50
4.10 Uttox OGEE £25 ew @ 3/1 WON +£90
Saturday, 14 March 2009
BINGO!!! 25/1 WINNER FOR VSR...............
I had a great day today, going down to Cheltenham to cheer on Little Shilling, unfortunately there was no fairytale but nothing taken can be taken away from the horse or connections as he has racked up a six timer and now is a huge 53lb higher than when recording the first of those wins, unfortunately his regular rider Richard Killoran was claimed by Nicky Henderson he was fully entitled to do this but i personally thought this was a little mean, i doubt Mr Henderson will lose much sleep over my complaint though !!
FRIDAY
OPTIMUM RACING
3.20 Chelt AIR FORCE ONE £25 ew @ 40/1 unpld -£50
VSR
1.30 Chelt ZAYNAR £25 ew @ 25/1 WON +£781.25
Thursday, 12 March 2009
what a day for the bookies !!!!!
Tomorrow is Gold Cup day, for me though is all about one horse ...........Little Shilling who runs in the Martin Pipe Conditional hurdle, perhaps we could have done with a little rain and another half mile but hopefully Shilling can get round and sneak a place, Good Luck to connections.
A couple of bets today and both ran with credit, obviously Punchestowns went close but Slash and Burn gave Optimum a decent run for their money @ 33/1 until a mistake about 5 out put paid to his chances.
THURSDAY
OPTIMUM RACING
1.30 Chelt SLASH AND BURN £25 ew @ 33/1 unpld -£50
VSR
3.20 Chelt PUNCHESTOWNS £25 ew @ 10/3 2nd -£4.19
Tuesday, 10 March 2009
Small loss on the day........
with little damage done, my only winner courtesy of VSR coming from Sedgefield. Cheltenham brought little joy, i wanted to lay both Cousin Vinny and Binocular on a point of value, Cousin Vinny a class horse but had a young jockey on top, fell/unseated last outing and was subject to a downbeat report after travelling over whilst Binocular for me was just too short on last season evidence when second, in fact i was impressed with Binoculars run today in defeat and was both surprised and impressed by the way he stayed on up the hill. Crack Away Jack for Isiris followers was a case of near but so far, i was not part of the Autum gamble at all rates from 33/1 and to missout on a payout was abitter pill to take. In our Raceroom i was called all names under sun from 1 mile out after telling all that could be bothered to listen (just Rosemary the tea lady !!) that Wichita Lineman would stay on to lead and take the prize, again i did nothing mainly due to the boss sitting next to me watching me like a hawk asi managed the liabilities.
The William Hill Trophy win for ...............oh yes there was a horse involved but you would hardly be aware of that on C4 !!!, Yes AP is the top of his game, but today the horse in my opinion was not given enough credit, a great ride by the master but Glen Campbells horse certainly earnt his polos today !!!
TUESDAY
OPTIMUM RACING
Arkle Chase CALGARY BAY £50 win £25 place @ 10/l LOST -£75
William Hill Trophy POSSOL £25 ew @ 11/1 LOST -£50
VSR
1.45 Sedge SMARTIES PARTY £25 ew @ 9/4 WON +£67.50
4.40 Chelt Chomba Womba £25 ew @ 7/1 LOST -£50
Sunday, 8 March 2009
SUPPER TONIGHT, ROLL ON THE SHILLING !!!
The service measured on account bets alone has endured a tough time recently, not really in respect of p/l which has remained static, but 2 selections recently have failed to make it over the first fence. I backed the horse with Stan James @ 10/3 but was rewarded at 7/2 due to BOG, so todays win will hopefuly see an turnaround in fortune and the p/l returns match previous seasons.
VSR nearly followed up yesterdays 5/1 winner, but McCoys brilliance in a finish scuppered the win.
SUNDAY
OPTIMUM RACING
2.05 Warwick NO SUPPER £75 ew @ 7/2 WON ...... pulling a cart !! +£328.13
VSR
2.45 Market Rasen QUENTIN COLLONGES £25 ew @ 10/3 2nd -£8.33
4.45 Market Rasen MY MOMENT £25 ew @ 7/2 r4 55p 3rd -£17.13
THE10KCHALLENGE P/L (after today) ...........................
OPTIMUM RACING +£108.12 (+4.32pts)
VSR +£338.30 (+13.53pts)
PERSONAL TRADING +£1693.97
SPORTS BETTING +£1428.99
THE10KCHALLENGE.................................................+£3,569.38
Also a mention for TheBetPlan that i have been trialling recently my £500 bank has increased to £804.50 since i began.
Saturday, 7 March 2009
Got the Cheltenham dough today..........
But the win came at a good time with Cheltenham next week and a faulty ballcock flooding the bathroom at home and requiring a plumber this afternoon, so not much left especially as i paid for Mrs D to have her hair done today ............ Im not a great fan of going to Cheltenham festival week but i have next Friday off and have decided to go along and cheer Little Shilling on in the Martin Pipe conditional hurdle ......... Good luck to connections.
A relatively quiet day with only action courtesy of the successful selection from VSR and Sergeant Harper, advised at 5/1 - 11/2 before being supported into 3/1.
SATURDAY
VSR
2.25 Chep SERGEANT HARPER £25 ew @ 5/1 WON +£150
SPORTS BETTING
£100 Treble Crystal Palace 6/4, Barnet 10/11 & Man Utd 5/6 ALL WON +£774.94
Gambling and racing..............
THURSDAY
OPTIMUM RACING
2.10 Carlise ET MAINTENANT £125 @ 5/2 2nd -£125
Thursday, 5 March 2009
a change of fortune required.............
I managed to recoup a large percentage of my losses on the day, from the betting activity of commission agents, although i was a bit premature with my laying of Garleton at just below 3/1, and with my first play i was relieved to sneak into 4th with Whatcanyasay and although on a small scale i was really happy with my position going into the race on this one. Some of these agents are proving a bit warm and im not sure how much longer we will be entertaining their business, which will be a shame personally !!!
WEDNESDAY
OPTIMUM RACING
4.00 Fontwell LE BRIAR SOUL £50 ew @ 11/2 unpld u/r -£100
VSR
2.20 Catterick SUN KING £25 ew @ 5/1 unpld -£50
2.30 Fontwell FASSAROE £25 ew @ 15/8 3rd -£15.62
PERSONAL TRADING
2.50 Catterick WHATCANYASAY £40 ew @ 10/1 4th placed +£60
2.50 Catterick LAY £40 @ 11.00 win mkt lay £20 @ 2.80 place mkt +£2.80 overall
4.20 Catterick GARLETON £100 @ 7/2 WON +£350
4.20 Catterick GARLETON Lay £100 @ 3.90 WON -£290
Tuesday, 3 March 2009
Blank days on monday & tuesday..........
PERSONAL BETTING
4.40 Southwell INTIBAH £50 ew @ 5/1 WON +£300
Monday, 2 March 2009
minimal sunday action ................
So Sunday afternoon was spent in the local, cheering them on, we didnt get the end result but at least we put in a decent performance and competed throughout the 120 minutes.
One bet, one winner from VSR in the form of Leopardstown scorer Shirley Casper @ 9/4.
SUNDAY
VSR
2.55 Leop SHIRLEY CASPER £25 ew @ 9/4 WON +£67.50
Sunday, 1 March 2009
Fridays win for Quince.........
SATURDAY
OPTIMUM RACING
2.00 Kelso OPEN DE LISLE £100 @ 11/4 3rd -£100
VSR
2.25 Doncaster BORDER REIVER £25 ew @ 6/1 unpld -£50
PERSONAL TRADING
2.00 Kelso CANTGETON £100 @ 4/1 WON +£400
2.00 Kelso CANTGETON lay £100 @ 4.00 WON -£300